In 1997, a lot of strange
things happened. After stocking their team with
several free-agents, the perennial favorite
Yomiuri Giants sank to fourth place, compiling
their second-worst record in team history. The Dragons, moving into their new
attendance-boosting dome, dropped to fifth place,
and the always competitive Carp posted only their
second losing season in two decades. 1996 Pacific
League dark horse, the Nippon Ham Fighters played
like dead meat. Ichiro Suzuki may have had
another great year, but the rest of the BlueWave
staff slumped through the entire season.
Meanwhile, the Yokohama BayStars came
out of nowhere to contend a pennant for the first
time in decades. After a rough start, the
Kintetsu Buffaloes turned things around,
finishing surprisingly well at third. Thought by
many to be heading toward a long, slow decline,
the Seibu Lions earned yet another pennant with
their sharp pitching and overwhelming offense.
But even the Pacific League champions
were no match for the Yakult Swallows. Predicted
by nearly everyone to finish fourth or lower,
Yakult led the Central League from wire-to-wire
with the best pitching in Japan and great offense
from MVP catcher Atsuya Furuta and CL home run
king Dwayne Hosey.
If the batch of 1997 predictions were
far off-the-mark, 1998 offers one of the
cloudiest crystal balls in years. Both pennants
are up for grabs and several teams appear
determined to make it their year.
Central
League:
Yakult Swallows: Losing Masato Yoshii (13-6,
2.99 ERA) leaves a big gap that former Lions ace
Hisanobu Watanabe will not likely fill. Starting
pitching may be Yakult's biggest headache.
Defense is generally strong, and offense can be
overwhelming. If MVP catcher Atsuya Furuta can
stay healthy the Swallows will stay strong in
1998.
Yokohama BayStars: Successful manager Akihito
Oya is out, new manager Hiroshi Gondo is in. It's
hard to imagine Gondo being any more successful.
Several Yokohama batters compiled career-best
numbers in 1997, and it's going to be tough for
them to repeat. Yokohama still has an erratic
pitching staff, though relief ace Kazuhiro Sasaki
does his job better than anyone in Japan. If the
Giants, Carp or Dragons come back strong in 1998,
look for Yokohama to take the fall.
Hiroshima Carp: 1997 wasn't a good year,
and it looks like it's going to get worse. After
losing RBI king Luis Lopez, the Carp have a gap
in their strongest area, offense. Aging hurler
Yutaka Ono earned the 1997 ERA title, but the
Carp can't depend on him much longer. 1995 Rookie
of the Year Yasuyuki Yamauchi has progressively
worsened in his last two years, which leaves
Hiroki Kuroda and 1997 Rookie of the Year
Toshikazu Sawasaki holding the bag. 1998 looks
like it could be a disaster for the Carp.
Yomiuri Giants: How could things have gone
so badly for the Giants? Dumb managing and a
meddling owner kept Yomiuri off balance all-year,
but the absence of starters Eric Hillman and
Masaki Saito probably played the largest part. As
for all the criticism about Kazuhiro Kiyohara,
the former Seibu slugger performed about the same
as he always had for the Lions. What did the
Giants expect? Rookie Yoshinobu Takahashi may add
some home runs to the team, but the long ball
didn't help them that much in 1997. What the
Giants need is speed on the base paths, a good
defense, and a solid bullpen. So far it looks
like Yomiuri will be deficient in all three
areas. If Hillman and Saito return to form, the
Giants will improve, but grabbing a pennant will
be no cakewalk unless Yomiuri concentrates more
on building a well-rounded team.
Hanshin Tigers: After climbing out of the
CL cellar in 1997, the Tigers appear determined
to blast themselves into contention in 1998.
Picking up former batting-king Alonzo Powell,
aging slugger Yasuaki Taiho and strong back-up
catcher Akihiro Yano, the Tigers are putting a
lot of faith in these players to turn their
careers around. Hanshin also picked up several
foreign players, presumably to stock their farm
team in the event an opening arises on the
varsity squad. The team handed pitcher Tetsuharu
Kawajiri a five-month suspension for his part in
a tax evasion scandal. With only one reliable
starting pitcher, Keiichi Yabu, Hanshin's mound
staff is going to be in a lot of trouble. By
October, it's unlikely the Tigers will place any
higher than fourth.
Chunichi Dragons: In 1997, Chunichi played
worse at their home ballpark than anywhere else
in Japan. The team needs to find a way to win at
Nagoya Dome. Entering 1998, the Dragons appear
headed in the right direction. After unloading
small-ballpark slugger Yasuaki Taiho, the team
picked up strong-arm outfielder Koichi Sekikawa
and shortstop Teruyoshi Kuji from the Tigers.
Playing in the huge dome, the Dragons need more
speed, and Sekikawa and Kuji should help.
Likewise, the acquisition of Jeong Bum Lee, the
"Korean Ichiro" who finished 1997 with
a .324 average and 64 steals for the Haitai
Tigers, should also enable Chunichi to take
advantage of the Nagoya Dome's dimensions. If
hurlers Shinji Imanaka and Ken Kadokura can pitch
well in 1998, the Dragons will be headed for a
winning season.
Pacific
League:
Seibu Lions: The Lions have speed,
pitching and good batting which all came together
in 1997. After losing to the Yakult Swallows in
the Japan Series, Seibu bolstered its pitching
staff with Nippon Ham starter Yukihiro Nishizaki
and Yakult hurler Terry Bross. The Lions are most
vulnerable with aging catcher Tsutomu Ito, an
outfield that is often erratic, and relief staff
which fell apart during the Japan Series.
Virtually everything went Seibu's way in 1997,
but their quick fall to the Swallows revealed
just how lucky the Lions had been all year. Look
for opponents to exploit their weaknesses in
1998.
Orix BlueWave: While superstar Ichiro
Suzuki had another terrific season in 1997, most
other Orix batters slumped all year. But they
won't be down for long. The loss of Troy Neel
means that Chris Donnels will likely hurt the
team's offense unless newcomers Harvey Pulliam
and Jim Bonnici rise to the occasion. Orix has a
relatively strong and deep pitching staff, and if
their batters can provide enough offense, the
BlueWave will be the favorites to take the 1998
PL flag.
Kintetsu Buffaloes: The Buffaloes had a
terrific second-half in 1997, surging to third
place once their pitchers asserted themselves.
Stealing almost twice as many bases in the Osaka
Dome as they had the year before at Fujiidera
Stadium, Kintetsu shifted toward a speed strategy
in 1997 which paid off. Instead of swinging for
the fences, the Buffaloes concentrated on getting
on base and advancing runners. Led by imports
Phil Clark and Tuffy Rhodes, Kintetsu has a
well-rounded offense that should stay strong in
1998. The Buffaloes success in 1998 will hinge on
whether starters Hideo Koike (15-6, 2.96 ERA) and
Akira Okamoto (10-6, 2.82 ERA) stay consistent
and if erratic hurler Hiroshi Takamura (8-9, 4.76
ERA) can turn his career around.
Nippon Ham Fighters: After reaching second
place in 1996, the Fighters dropped to a
fourth-place tie a year later as their pitching
fell to pieces. In virtually every category,
Nippon Ham's pitching ranked near last in the
league, and that drop had a lot to do with the
absence of Yukihiro Nishizaki. Though pitcher Kip
Gross will likely improve in 1998, the Fighters
have already dealt Nishizaki to Seibu. Nippon Ham
has a strong offense and defense but unless they
get higher quality pitching from their mound
crew, the Fighters will likely be out of the
pennant race before the all-star break.
Fukuoka Daiei Hawks: Unless the Hawks get some
good pitching, they have virtually no chance of
taking the PL flag. Almost every year, the Hawks
try to bolster their offense, and the late 1997
acquisition of CL RBI king Luis Lopez continued
the trend. Already, Daiei has the most powerful
line-up in the league, but all-star second
baseman Hiroki Kokubo (36 homers, .302) will
likely miss a large chunk of the 1998 season.
All-star Kimiyasu Kudo remains the team's only
reliable pitcher, but at 35 he can't carry the
Hawks by himself. Free agent acquisition Shintaro
Yamasaki probably may help the pitching staff,
but if Daiei pins their hopes on him the Hawks
are going to be in sorry shape.
Chiba Lotte Marines: Despite the absence of ace
pitchers Hideki Irabu and Eric Hillman, the
Marines pitching staff performed remarkably well
in 1997. Instead, it was Lotte's deflated offense
that left the team in the PL cellar. Since they
haven't made any big changes for 1998, the
Marines are putting a lot of faith in their
current line-up to improve. If Lotte reaches
fifth place, it will be a monumental achievement.
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