 A look back at 1997: Few
critics predicted the Lions to go all the way in
1997, but by the all-star break, the Lions were
virtually tied for first place with the BlueWave.
Despite
their strong mound staff, the Lions sat within a
whisker of first place because of their batting
and base running. Though Lions batters only hit
59 home runs (fifth in the league) before the
break, the Seibu offense batted .287. Scoring
more often than any other team, the Lions
compiled 74 more runs than they allowed, far
better than the BlueWave's 35 run surplus.
Keeping
up the same pace while the Orix pitching staff
fell apart, the Lions went 32-22 after the break,
taking over first place on August 27. By the end
of the season, the Lions took the PL flag with a
76-56 record and three ties, five games above
second-place Orix. Accordingly, Seibu gathered a
102 run surplus, far exceeding the BlueWave's 38.
Going
into the Japan Series, many critics gave the edge
to the Lions. Despite a team 3.63 ERA (second in
the league) and a .287 average (first) with 200
stolen bases (first) during the regular season,
Seibu fell to the Swallows in five games. A young
team without much post-season experience, the
Lions batted .229 with three steals and Seibu
pitchers compiled a 3.14 ERA during the series.
Pitching:
The Lions have a good pitching staff, though not
quite as dominant as most critics seem to
believe. Their strength lies in the core of their
starting rotation, with Fumiya Nishiguchi,
Kiyoshi Toyoda and Tetsuya Shiozaki earning three
of the league's seven lowest ERAs. Nishiguchi
took the 1997 Sawamura and MVP awards with a 15-5
record while posting a 3.12 ERA and leading the
circuit in strikeouts (192).
Though
only earning 86 strikeouts, Kiyoshi Toyoda
compiled a 2.93 ERA while earning a 10-6 record.
Rounding out the top three with a 12-7 record,
Tetsuya Shiozaki led the team with a 2.90 ERA.
With these three hurlers compiling twenty-one
complete games, it's not surprising that the
Lions held the Pacific League's second lowest
team ERA, 3.63, a very slim margin behind the
Orix mound staff.
In
1998, these hurlers will be joined by Nippon Ham
ace Yukihiro Nishizaki and Yakult's Terry Bross.
Both have just come off mediocre years, but the
Lions are apparently hoping to squeeze about
twenty wins out of the pair. On one sports
program, Swallows manager Katsuya Nomura claimed
that Bross was let go because he had a terrible
pick-off throw and was lousy at scooping up
bunted balls. Nearly all of the players the Lions
picked up in the annual draft were pitchers, so
the team apparently wants to strengthen its mound
staff.
One
of the problems with the Lions bullpen is only
one member, Takehiro Hashimoto, compiled an ERA
lower than the three main starters. No wonder
that manager Higashio let Nishiguchi, Toyoda and
Shiozaki combine for twenty-one complete games.
Earning
seventeen save points, more than any other Lions
pitcher, Takashi Ishii posted an 8-8 record with
nine saves and a 3.99 ERA in 88 innings of
relief. Runner-up with fifteen save points,
rookie Shinji Mori saved nine games while going
6-2 with a 3.28 ERA.
Manager
Higashio has been accused of not knowing what to
do with his pitching staff. There hardly seems to
be any well-defined roles. Ishii and Mori bounced
between starting and relieving and even starter
Nishiguchi earned three save points. A master of
bad-timing, Higashio sent washed-up starter
Hisanobu Watanabe into game three of the Japan
Series, whereupon the fading all-star allowed
four hits and two earned runs in one inning. One
has to wonder if the Seibu manager has any idea
how to use his bullpen.
The
Lions may have one of the top starting rotations
in Japan, but their bullpen is very inconsistent.
Perhaps with the addition of Yukihiro Nishizaki
to the Lions rotation, Seibu will have a more
complete starting rotation and can concentrate
more on who will relieve. But if Higashio plans
on using the same strategy (or lack of) in 1998,
the Lions' luck may run out.
Offense:
The Seibu team that took the 1997 PL pennant
differs radically from the team that dominated
the Pacific League in the 1980s. Gone are the
power hitters like Koji Akiyama, Kazuhiro
Kiyohara and Orestes Destrade that gave the Lions
an explosive punch. Collecting only 110 home
runs, the fourth lowest total of any Japanese
team, today's Lions rely far more on speed.
Led
by shortstop Kazuo Matsui, the Lions swiped 200
bases in 1997, far surpassing that of any other
team. Seibu also topped the Pacific League in
team hits (1,293), doubles (231), triples (31),
total bases (1,940) and RBIs. With the best team
batting average in Japan (.281), Seibu got
runners in scoring position more often than any
other team.
Four
players batted over .300, with Ken Suzuki leading
the pack while batting .312 with 34 doubles,
nineteen home runs and 94 RBIs. The third baseman
also has a good eye, collecting ninety walks
(against 74 strikeouts) to boost his on-base
percentage to .431. Though best known for
stealing 62 bases, Kazuo Matsui batted .309 with
thirteen triples. Perhaps because he has been
forced to bat from both sides of the plate, the
swift shortstop also struck out 89 times.
Only
imported slugger Domingo Martinez whiffed more
often (103). Still, the portly DH from the
Dominican Republic clubbed 31 home runs with 108
RBIs and a .549 slugging percentage while batting
.304. Rounding out the top four, right fielder
Makoto Sasaki, who has seen most of his offensive
numbers decline in recent years, batted .304 with
57 RBIs.
The
Lions also got good offensive support from
catcher Tsutomu Ito (.282 with 13 home runs and
56 RBIs), Taisei Takagi (.295 with 24 stolen
bases and 64 RBIs) and Susumu Otomo (.278 with 31
stolen bases).
During
the Japan Series, the Lions offense fell flat
while the team earned a dismal .229 post-season
batting average. A young and inexperienced team,
the Lions wilted under the pressure while the
Swallows remained confident.
Look
for Ito and Sasaki to decline in 1998 while
youngsters Takagi and Otomo pick up the slack. In
1997 both young and old Seibu players had an
outstanding season at the plate. It's going to be
hard to keep up that momentum in 1998.
Top
Player: Kazuo Matsui. Stealing 62 bases while
clubbing thirteen triples and batting .309,
Matsui remains Japan's most lethal base-runner.
Some have argued that allowing Matsui on base is
like giving up a home run because the Lions will
find a way to make him score.
Surprise
Player: Taisei Takagi. While 35 year old
catcher Tsutomu Ito played well in 1997, reserve
backstop Takagi shifted to first base. Batting
.295 with 24 stolen bases, the twenty-four year
old player should remain at first base for the
next few years.
Biggest
Disappointment: Tetsuya Kakiuchi. The Lions
regular left-fielder, twenty-seven year old
Kakiuchi slammed 28 home runs in 1996 while
stealing sixteen bases and batting .253. Injured
for most of the 1997 season, the right-handed
slugger batted .225 with three home runs.
Most
over-rated: Futoshi Nishiguchi. Definitely a
strong pitcher and certainly one of the best on
the Seibu staff, 1997 Pacific League MVP and
Sawamura award-winner Nishiguchi still got more
recognition than he really deserved. Several
pitchers in both leagues put up better numbers
than the lanky right-hander, but no others played
for a pennant winner, the fact that likely tilted
the highly subjective Sawamura award in
Nishiguchi's favor.
New
Faces: Yukihiro Nishizaki pitched poorly for
the Fighters in 1997 but has compiled a career
117-97 record with a 3.24 ERA in eleven seasons.
Free agent catcher Satoshi Nakajima thought he
could jump to the major leagues but reality
bounced him back to Japan. Terry Bross pitched
great in 1995 but after two less successful
outings, the Swallows released him. Pitcher Brian
Raabe and infielder Giovanni Carrara are
newcomers to Japan.
Strongest
area: Speed and batting. Unlike the
power-hitting Lions dynasty of the 1980s and
early '90s, today's Seibu team relies far more on
base hits and stolen bases. The team hit .281 in
1997 (first in the PL) while four of the league's
top eight batters wore Seibu uniforms. Lions base
runners stole more bases (200) than any other
team, while shortstop Kazuo Matsui swiped 62
bags, Taisei Takagi earned 24 steals and Susumu
Otomo stole 31.
Weakest
area: Second base. Seibu's weakest infield
position, the Lions tried out several players at
second base in 1997. Hiroyuki Takagi apparently
had the most success, batting .278 without much
power or speed in 107 games and 255 at bats. Most
other replacement players did much worse. The
Lions also had a tough time finding a strong
utility player to fill in for injured left
fielder Tetsuya Kakiuchi. During the Japan
series, first baseman and eventual-catcher Taisei
Takagi took the vacant outfield position and
misjudged several balls.
Biggest
question mark: Tsutomu Ito. Rumored to have
been on his way out before the 1997 season, Ito
silenced critics with a good offensive year (.280
with 13 home runs) while remaining arguably the
best defensive backstop in the league. Since Ito
received more first place votes for MVP than
eventual winner Fumiya Nishiguchi, many credit
the comeback catcher with helping turn Seibu into
a contender. But at thirty-five, can the old
knees withstand another full season? If not, the
Lions could be in trouble.
Secret
weapon: Denney Tomori. No doubt the Lions
have more reliable relievers, and teammate
Takehiro Hashimoto probably ranks first among the
team's middle-men. But Denney, as he prefers to
be called, deserves special attention. A pitcher
who rotted away in the BayStars bullpen until
joining the Lions in 1997, the thirty-year old
hurler earned four save points with a 4-0 record,
a 3.38 ERA, nine walks and 32 strikeouts.
Hoping
that his Japan Series performance would lead his
estranged father to make contact with him, Denney
posted a 0.00 ERA in four post-season relief
appearances, striking out three and walking
three. Denney may not have been the Lions
strongest weapon, but he is certainly their most
secret.
Fading
star: Since Hisanobu Watanabe was released
after the end of the 1997 season (and has since
signed with the Yakult Swallows), the fading star
distinction falls to Tsutomu Ito. Though a runner
up for the league's MVP award in 1997, Ito has
had health problems in the past. At 35, it's
unclear how much longer he will remain effective
as the Lions backstop.
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